Why invest in bonds rather than cash?
Unlike holding cash, investing in bonds offers the benefit of consistent investment income. Bonds are debt instruments issued by governments and corporations that guarantee a set amount of interest each year. Investing in bonds is tantamount to making a loan in the amount of the bond to the issuing entity.
Investors buy bonds because: They provide a predictable income stream. Typically, bonds pay interest on a regular schedule, such as every six months.
Over the past 40 years, bonds have averaged a 6.4% annual return—about 1.5 times the 4.1% return of cash. Bonds have also been consistent outperformers: In the 433 months from January 1986 to April 2022, bonds had a better 5-year return in all but 10 periods—a 98% success rate (Exhibit 4).
Disadvantages of Corporate Bonds
If the issuer goes out of business, the investor may never get the promised interest payments or even get their principal back. Corporate bonds are generally considered riskier than government bonds because governments have the option of raising taxes to meet their obligations.
Cash – including high-yield savings accounts, short CDs – money market funds, and bond funds, are all perceived as relatively “safe” investments but differ in terms of their risk level and return potential. Cash is the least risky of the three but offers the lowest potential return.
Pros | Cons |
---|---|
Can offer a stream of income | Exposes investors to credit and default risk |
Can help diversify an investment portfolio and mitigate investment risk | Typically generate lower returns than other investments |
Investors trade bonds for a number of reasons, with the key two being—profit and protection.
Low yields. Cash typically offers lower returns compared to other investment options, and inflation may erode its purchasing power over time. Tax implications. Dividends earned from cash holdings are taxable, potentially reducing the net returns on your investment.
The disadvantages of bond funds include higher management fees, the uncertainty created with tax bills, and exposure to interest rate changes.
As you can see, each type of investment has its own potential rewards and risks. Stocks offer an opportunity for higher long-term returns compared with bonds but come with greater risk. Bonds are generally more stable than stocks but have provided lower long-term returns.
Why bonds are a bad investment now?
Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions, and because interest rates in the past few years have been fluctuating in response to shifts in expectations for inflation and economic growth, prices have oscillated wildly, too.
Should I only buy bonds when interest rates are high? There are advantages to purchasing bonds after interest rates have risen. Along with generating a larger income stream, such bonds may be subject to less interest rate risk, as there may be a reduced chance of rates moving significantly higher from current levels.
All bonds carry some degree of "credit risk," or the risk that the bond issuer may default on one or more payments before the bond reaches maturity. In the event of a default, you may lose some or all of the income you were entitled to, and even some or all of principal amount invested.
While both CDs and bonds are generally safe investments, both carry their own risk factors. CDs face inflation risk, while bonds face interest rate risk. Investing in a mixture of both can help hedge your investments. You may see greater returns with high-yield bonds if you're more risk-tolerant.
Choosing between a CD and Treasuries depends on how long of a term you want. For terms of one to six months, as well as 10 years, rates are close enough that Treasuries are the better pick. For terms of one to five years, CDs are currently paying more, and it's a large enough difference to give them the edge.
Bottom Line
Moving 401(k) assets into bonds could make sense if you're closer to retirement age or you're generally a more conservative investor overall. However, doing so could potentially cost you growth in your portfolio over time.
Face Value | Purchase Amount | 30-Year Value (Purchased May 1990) |
---|---|---|
$50 Bond | $100 | $207.36 |
$100 Bond | $200 | $414.72 |
$500 Bond | $400 | $1,036.80 |
$1,000 Bond | $800 | $2,073.60 |
Vanguard's active fixed income team believes emerging markets (EM) bonds could outperform much of the rest of the fixed income market in 2024 because of the likelihood of declining global interest rates, the current yield premium over U.S. investment-grade bonds, and a longer duration profile than U.S. high yield.
For example, the broad U.S. stock market delivered a 10.0% average annual return over the past 30 years through the end of 2018, while the average annual return for bonds was 6.1%.
Bond prices have an inverse relationship with interest rates. This means that when interest rates go up, bond prices go down and when interest rates go down, bond prices go up.
Why cash is the safest investment?
Investors benefit from the low-risk yield and high liquidity of cash investments. Although interest rates are low and a favorable interest rate can only be locked in temporarily, an investor can have access to their money within a short period of time.
“Some of your funds should be positioned in cash instruments to meet more immediate needs, but money that is intended to achieve long-term objectives should be invested in assets like stocks and bonds to work toward those goals.”
Cash is less secure than a credit card. Unlike credit cards, if you lose physical money or have it stolen, there's no way to recover your losses. Less Convenient. You can't always use cash as a payment method.
Bonds are a type of fixed-income investment. You can make money on a bond from interest payments and by selling it for more than you paid. You can lose money on a bond if you sell it for less than you paid or the issuer defaults on their payments.
There are two ways to make money by investing in bonds. The first is to hold those bonds until their maturity date and collect interest payments on them. Bond interest is usually paid twice a year. The second way to profit from bonds is to sell them at a price that's higher than you initially paid.
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