What is inflation, and why has it been so high? | Brookings (2024)

Commentary

April 3, 2024

What is inflation, and why has it been so high? | Brookings (2)

Transcript:

Inflation, the change in price of goods and services over time, is often confused with the cost of things.

Inflation is not about how much things cost, but rather how prices are changing in a given month or year.

There’s no single culprit.  Early in the pandemic, there were fewer workers and disruptions in the availability of goods due to snarled shipping routes and shuttered childcare centers, among other factors.

At the same time, demand for some products soared: pandemic-era stimulus programs left shoppers with extra cash to spend, and everyone wanted to buy the same types of things.

More recently, inflation has been driven mostly by the cost of buying or renting a home. This is due to entirely different reasons, mainly that new homebuilding has been slow and older Americans are not moving out of their homes as frequently.

Inflation has slowed since its peak, but that only means prices aren’t rising as quickly as before. The chance that prices actually fall are very slim, although we have seen price declines in products likes eggs and used cars.

Still, the U.S. has made great progress. Reining in inflation has not led to a recession and widespread job loss.

Cooling inflation, while keeping unemployment at historically low levels, has been the ideal scenario, or what economists like to call a “soft landing.” 

The Fed has targeted an average inflation rate of 2% and will use the tools necessary to get the economy to that place. It’s less a question of “if” inflation will reach this level, and more a question of “when” and how much economic pain it will take.

Right now it seems like the answer appears to be “soon” and “not too much.”

  • Acknowledgements and disclosures

    The Brookings Institution is financed through the support of a diverse array of foundations, corporations, governments, individuals, as well as an endowment. A list of donors can be found in our annual reports published onlinehere. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions in this report are solely those of its author(s) and are not influenced by any donation.

What is inflation, and why has it been so high? | Brookings (2024)

FAQs

What is causing inflation to be so high? ›

At the same time, demand for some products soared: pandemic-era stimulus programs left shoppers with extra cash to spend, and everyone wanted to buy the same types of things. More recently, inflation has been driven mostly by the cost of buying or renting a home.

Who benefits from inflation? ›

Inflation can benefit both borrowers and lenders, depending on the circ*mstances. The money supply can directly affect prices; prices may increase as the money supply increases, assuming no change in economic output.

How bad is inflation right now? ›

Key takeaways. The current inflation rate is 3.4%, with shelter, motor vehicle insurance and energy the current main contributors. Prices have risen 20.8% since the pandemic-induced recession began in February 2020, with just 5% of the nearly 400 items the Bureau of Labor Statistics tracks cheaper today.

How can we stop inflation? ›

Monetary policy primarily involves changing interest rates to control inflation. Governments through fiscal policy, however, can assist in fighting inflation. Governments can reduce spending and increase taxes as a way to help reduce inflation.

Who is responsible for inflation? ›

More jobs and higher wages increase household incomes and lead to a rise in consumer spending, further increasing aggregate demand and the scope for firms to increase the prices of their goods and services. When this happens across a large number of businesses and sectors, this leads to an increase in inflation.

What are the top 3 causes of inflation? ›

What causes inflation?
  • Demand-pull. The most common cause for a rise in prices is when more buyers want a product or service than the seller has available. ...
  • Cost-push. Sometimes prices rise because costs go up on the supply side of the equation. ...
  • Increased money supply. ...
  • Devaluation. ...
  • Rising wages. ...
  • Monetary and fiscal policies.
May 19, 2023

Who will inflation hurt the most? ›

Since inflation reduces purchasing power, consumers represent the primary group who stand to lose when prices rise. That's because their money doesn't go nearly as far and allows them a limited number of goods and services they can purchase.

Will prices ever go back to normal? ›

But the reality is that even as the inflation rate falls, it's unlikely that most prices will decrease alongside it, though some individual items might cost less. And as much as it might not feel like it over the last few years, ever-rising prices can actually be a good thing in the broader economic picture.

Am I losing money because of inflation? ›

Over time, inflation can reduce the value of your savings, as prices go up in the future. This is most noticeable with cash. If you keep $10,000 under your bed, that money may not be able to buy as much 20 years into the future.

What reverses inflation? ›

Monetary policy: in monetary policy central bank generally increases the interest rate that reduces investment and economic growth. That reverses the inflation. 2. Money supply: taking money out of the market by central bank affect the consumption and demand, that decreases inflation.

Can the president control inflation? ›

A president's actions in office—such as tax cuts, wars, and government aid—can affect prices and the economy overall. The president plays a significant role in deciding how to respond to high inflation or stimulate the economy during a slowdown.

Can inflation ever be fixed? ›

The government can use fiscal policy to fix inflation by increasing taxes or cutting spending. Increasing taxes leads to decreased individual demand and a reduction in the supply of money in the economy.

Why has everything gotten so expensive? ›

Since the pandemic started, prices for consumers have gone up 20% overall, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. In many key areas, like housing and groceries, prices have increased even more. Years of mismanagement and poor conditions in stores have hurt Family Dollar's brand.

Does the president control inflation? ›

A president's actions in office—such as tax cuts, wars, and government aid—can affect prices and the economy overall. The president plays a significant role in deciding how to respond to high inflation or stimulate the economy during a slowdown.

Will the cost of living ever go back down? ›

But the short answer is “almost definitely, no.”

When did inflation start to rise in the US? ›

Inflation began ratcheting upward in the mid-1960s and reached more than 14 percent in 1980.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Laurine Ryan

Last Updated:

Views: 6455

Rating: 4.7 / 5 (77 voted)

Reviews: 84% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Laurine Ryan

Birthday: 1994-12-23

Address: Suite 751 871 Lissette Throughway, West Kittie, NH 41603

Phone: +2366831109631

Job: Sales Producer

Hobby: Creative writing, Motor sports, Do it yourself, Skateboarding, Coffee roasting, Calligraphy, Stand-up comedy

Introduction: My name is Laurine Ryan, I am a adorable, fair, graceful, spotless, gorgeous, homely, cooperative person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.