Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (2024)

Data Source: from January 1871 to April 2024 (~153 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2024
Live Update: May 17 2024Currency: USD

PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)

0.06%

1 Day

May 17 2024

4.79%

Current Month

May 2024

The Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio is a Very High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 2 ETFs.

It's exposed for 80% on the Stock Market.

In the last 30 Years, the Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio obtained a 9.36% compound annual return, with a 12.51% standard deviation.

Table of contents

Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (1)

The first official book of Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (2)

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Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

The Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight
(%)
Investment Themes (Orig.Currency)ETF
Ticker
ETF
Currency
ETF Name
80.00Equity, U.S., Large Cap (USD)

VTI

USDVanguard Total Stock Market
20.00Bond, U.S., All-Term (USD)

BND

USDVanguard Total Bond Market

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Apr 30, 2024

The Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:

  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.

May 2024 return is calculated on the hypothesis of a newly built portfolio, with the starting asset allocation.

STOCKS/BONDS 80/20 PORTFOLIO

Consolidated returns as of 30 April 2024

Live Update: May 17 2024

Swipe left to see all data

Chg (%)Return (%)Return (%) as of Apr 30, 2024
1 DayTime ET(*)May 20241M6M1Y5Y10Y30YMAX
(~153Y)
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio0.064.79-3.9917.6117.199.899.699.368.46
US Inflation Adjusted return-4.2915.4813.395.486.656.656.20
Components

VTI

USDVanguard Total Stock Market0.14May 17 20245.51-4.3420.7321.9412.2711.7210.299.12

BND

USDVanguard Total Bond Market-0.25May 17 20241.92-2.414.92-1.40-0.161.164.254.47
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1871
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Apr 2024. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.36% , 5Y: 4.18% , 10Y: 2.85% , 30Y: 2.55%

Live update: World Markets and Indexes

In 2023, the Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio granted a 2.08% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Apr 30, 2024

An investment of 1$, since May 1994, now would be worth 14.67$, with a total return of 1366.59% (9.36% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 6.89$, with a net total return of 589.26% (6.65% annualized).

An investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 256062.71$, with a total return of 25606170.63% (8.46% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 10201.82$, with a net total return of 1020081.88% (6.20% annualized).

Portfolio Metrics as of Apr 30, 2024

Metrics of Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio, updated as of 30 April 2024.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:

  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • a rebalancing of the components at every January 1st. How do returns change with different rebalancing strategies?
  • the reinvestment of dividends.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.

STOCKS/BONDS 80/20 PORTFOLIO

Advanced Metrics

Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 30 April 2024 (~153 years)

Swipe left to see all data

Metrics as of Apr 30, 2024
1M3M6M1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
(~153Y)
Investment Return (%)-3.992.3417.6117.194.319.899.698.829.368.46
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details -4.291.1915.4813.39-1.135.486.656.066.656.20
US Inflation (%)0.311.141.853.365.504.182.852.602.552.12
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.

DRAWDOWN

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)-8.31-22.75-22.75-22.75-41.09-41.09-75.27
Start to Recovery (# months) details 52525253939163
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012007 112007 111929 09
Start to Bottom (# months)3999161633
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022009 021932 05
Bottom to End (# months)21616162323130
End (yyyy mm)2023 122024 012024 012024 012011 012011 011943 03
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-33.33
same as
deepest
Start to Recovery (# months) details 59
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012007 112000 091929 09
Start to Bottom (# months)3999162533
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022002 091932 05
Bottom to End (# months)21616162334130
End (yyyy mm)2023 122024 012024 012024 012011 012005 071943 03
Longest negative period (# months) details 630303060122166
Period Start (yyyy mm)2023 052021 052021 052021 052004 051999 011928 12
Period End (yyyy mm)2023 102023 102023 102023 102009 042009 021942 09
Annualized Return (%)-0.71-1.42-1.42-1.42-0.17-0.47-0.04
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)-9.18-26.80-26.80-26.80-42.07-42.07-68.77
Start to Recovery (# months) details 528*28*28*535379
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012007 112007 111929 09
Start to Bottom (# months)3999161633
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022009 021932 05
Bottom to End (# months)2191919373746
End (yyyy mm)2023 12---2012 032012 031936 03
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-36.32-46.99
Start to Recovery (# months) details 75123
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012007 112000 091973 01
Start to Bottom (# months)3999162521
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022002 091974 09
Bottom to End (# months)21919193750102
End (yyyy mm)2023 12---2012 032006 111983 03
Longest negative period (# months) details 636*383868147246
Period Start (yyyy mm)2023 052021 052020 092020 092005 011999 071901 05
Period End (yyyy mm)2023 102024 042023 102023 102010 082011 091921 10
Annualized Return (%)-3.60-1.13-1.15-1.15-0.50-0.01-0.02
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress

RISK INDICATORS

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Standard Deviation (%)13.3815.1715.6912.8612.4712.5113.30
Sharpe Ratio0.890.110.510.660.600.570.34
Sortino Ratio1.260.150.680.870.780.740.47
Ulcer Index3.0910.308.466.329.1910.3913.09
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation1.290.280.630.750.710.750.64
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown2.070.190.430.430.210.230.11
% Positive Months details 66%58%63%69%68%66%61%
Positive Months82138831642391138
Negative Months415223776121702

LONG TERM RETURNS

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized9.6914.2214.2216.88
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized6.51-0.44-2.44
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized6.6512.2412.2416.89
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized4.66-2.95-4.50

ROLLING PERIODS

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized47.6726.3423.0114.229.609.36
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-34.49-11.24-3.66-0.445.30
% Positive Periods80%84%97%99%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized79.1825.7515.978.425.238.33
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized----2.427.12
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized43.9123.4720.1512.247.116.65
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-34.49-13.37-6.14-2.953.16
% Positive Periods78%81%81%90%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized79.1825.7515.978.425.238.33
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized----2.427.12
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Over all the available data source (Jan 1871 - Apr 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized118.7137.0030.0316.8816.0313.20
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-57.12-34.67-13.95-2.442.313.32
% Positive Periods74%86%94%99%100%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized67.5619.8111.857.134.333.65
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized-----1.69
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized134.2133.2628.7416.8911.719.71
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-52.40-29.49-10.50-4.50-0.531.52
% Positive Periods70%81%84%90%99%100%
SWR - Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized67.5619.8111.857.134.333.65
PWR - Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) - 100% Success - Annualized-----1.69
WR calculated based on initial capital | Monthly withdrawals adjusted for inflation | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com

Terms and Definitions

  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

Talking about withdrawal rates, how would you manage your early retirement with the Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio? Read more here

Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.

COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS

Monthly correlations as of 30 April 2024

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If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

STOCKS/BONDS 80/20 PORTFOLIO

Drawdown periods

Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted

Data Source: 1 May 1994 - 30 April 2024 (30 Years)

Data Source: 1 January 1871 - 30 April 2024 (~153 years)

Inflation Adjusted:

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Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (2024)

FAQs

Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns? ›

The Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio is a Very High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 2 ETFs. It's exposed for 80% on the Stock Market. In the last 30 Years, the Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Portfolio obtained a 9.36% compound annual return, with a 12.51% standard deviation.

What is the average return on an 80/20 portfolio? ›

A 20% weighting in stocks and an 80% weighing in bonds has provided an average annual return of 7.2%, with the worst year -10.1% and the best year +40.7%. With a 30% allocation to stocks, you could improve your investment returns by 0.5% a year to 7.7%.

Is 80 20 a good asset allocation? ›

If you're a younger investor with a long time horizon and are comfortable taking on more risk, the 80/20 portfolio may be a good fit. However, if you're closer to retirement or prefer a more conservative approach, the 60/40 portfolio may be a better option.

What percentage of stocks and bonds should be in my portfolio? ›

So, if you think you could tolerate 100 percent stocks respect what you don't know. Build a portfolio with 80 percent stocks and 20 percent bonds. If you think you could tolerate a portfolio with 80 percent stocks and 20 percent bonds, build a portfolio with 70 percent stocks and 30 percent bonds.

What percentage of my portfolio should be ETFs? ›

"A newer investor with a modest portfolio may like the ease at which to acquire ETFs (trades like an equity) and the low-cost aspect of the investment. ETFs can provide an easy way to be diversified and as such, the investor may want to have 75% or more of the portfolio in ETFs."

What is a good asset allocation for a 65 year old? ›

For most retirees, investment advisors recommend low-risk asset allocations around the following proportions: Age 65 – 70: 40% – 50% of your portfolio. Age 70 – 75: 50% – 60% of your portfolio. Age 75+: 60% – 70% of your portfolio, with an emphasis on cash-like products like certificates of deposit.

Is 80/20 an aggressive portfolio? ›

A standard example of an aggressive strategy compared to a conservative strategy would be the 80/20 portfolio compared to a 60/40 portfolio. An 80/20 portfolio allocates 80% of the wealth to equities and 20% to bonds compared to a 60/40 portfolio, which allocates 60% and 40%, respectively.

What is the rule 70/30 buffett? ›

A 70/30 portfolio is an investment portfolio where 70% of investment capital is allocated to stocks and 30% to fixed-income securities, primarily bonds.

What is the 70/30 ETF strategy? ›

This investment strategy seeks total return through exposure to a diversified portfolio of primarily equity, and to a lesser extent, fixed income asset classes with a target allocation of 70% equities and 30% fixed income. Target allocations can vary +/-5%.

What is a good asset allocation for a 50 year old? ›

Almost Retirement: Your 50s and 60s

Stocks: 50% to 60% Bonds: 40% to 50%

Should a 70 year old be in the stock market? ›

Conventional wisdom holds that when you hit your 70s, you should adjust your investment portfolio so it leans heavily toward low-risk bonds and cash accounts and away from higher-risk stocks and mutual funds. That strategy still has merit, according to many financial advisors.

Does Warren Buffett invest in bonds? ›

Warren Buffett is no fan of the bond market even with the increase in yields this year. Berkshire Hathaway has a tiny bond allocation in its investment portfolio, which mostly supports its huge insurance business. This contrasts with most insurers, who keep the bulk of their assets in bonds.

What is the 4% rule for ETF? ›

This is commonly referred to as The 4% Rule. The Trinity Study found that you can 'safely' sell off 4% of your total ETF investments once each year, and they 'should' last the next 30 years before you run out.

What is the 4 percent rule ETF? ›

Say an investor has retired with a $1 million portfolio. In her first year of retirement, under the 4% rule, she should withdraw 4% of that portfolio, or $40,000 ($1 million x 0.04). For each subsequent year, she should adjust the withdrawal amount for inflation.

What is a lazy portfolio? ›

A Classic Lazy Portfolio contains the main traditional asset classes, with the aim to achieve above-average returns while taking a below-average risk. A Modern/Alternative Lazy Portfolio can use particular assets/strategies, with the aim of obtaining an extra return.

What is the 80 20 rule for ROI? ›

The 80-20 Rule in Business and Investments

For business sales, 20% of a company's repeat customers should be responsible for 80% of the sales. Also, 20% of the employees are responsible for 80% of the results.

What is the expected return of a 70 30 portfolio? ›

From 1926 through 2021, the average annualized return of an all-stock allocation was 12.3%. What might surprise you is the long-term effect of adding just a small allocation of bonds into the mix. Under this analysis, a portfolio of 70% stocks and 30% bonds would have achieved a 10.5% annualized return.

What is a good average return on a portfolio? ›

A good return on investment is generally considered to be around 7% per year, based on the average historic return of the S&P 500 index, adjusted for inflation. The average return of the U.S. stock market is around 10% per year, adjusted for inflation, dating back to the late 1920s.

What is a realistic portfolio return? ›

There's a reason that 12% tends to be used as a benchmark, according to Blanchett. The average historical return from 1926 to 2023 is 12.2%, according to a monthly data set called stocks, bonds, bills and inflation, or SBBI.

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