Pros and cons of Fed raising interest rates in today's economic conditions—and how you can benefit (2024)

The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 0.75 percentage point on Wednesday — the biggest hike since 1994 — to try to curtail today's record-high inflation.

While the Fed is expected to continue raising rates throughout the rest of 2022, the larger conundrum still remains: continue raising rates, potentially causing an economic slowdown and recession, or don't raise rates and therefore don't prevent taming rampant inflation.

Interest rates affect our bigger macroeconomic picture, but they also have a tangible effect on our personal finances, including student loans, car loans, mortgages, savings accounts and more.

Below, Select further explains the pros and cons of the Fed raising interest rates, plus how everyday consumers can take advantage.

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Pros of Fed raising rates

The larger goal of the Fed raising interest rates is to slow economic activity, but not by too much. When rates increase, meaning it becomes more expensive to borrow money, consumers react by refraining from making large purchases and pulling back their spending. The idea is that in today's high inflationary environment, this decrease in consumer demand can help bring prices back down to "normal."

We've seen this scenario already play out a bit in the housing market. In the last six months, average 30-year fixed mortgage rates have gone from 3.22% on Jan. 6 up to 6.28% on June 14. This rate increase has caused a notable slowdown in mortgage demand, hitting a 22-year low in mortgage applications last week. And with consumers facing higher mortgage rates to pay for a house, home prices are starting to soften. Nearly one in five sellers have dropped their home price during the four-week period ending May 22, according to Redfin.

How you can benefit

For everyday consumers, this housing market could offer some good news. Laurence Kotlikoff, an economics professor at Boston University, tells Select that mortgage rates are still at historic lows (for now). In fact, a low fixed-rate mortgage may serve as a good hedge against inflation.

Not looking to buy a home? Consumers can still benefit from the expectation of more rate hikes in the coming months by refinancing any high, variable-interest debt that is likely to become even more expensive. While the Fed just recently announced a rate hike, it takes some time to "bake" into the market, so you should refinance any high-interest debt now before rates get even higher. For example, private student loan borrowers paying a high variable interest rate may want to refinance to a fixed rate to lock in what will ideally be a lower rate today than in the future. SoFi offers fixed-rate loans with loan terms of five, seven, 10, 15 and 20 years, plus no origination fees to refinance.

SoFi

  • Eligible borrowers

    Undergraduate and graduate students, parents, health professionals

  • Loan amounts

    $5,000 minimum (or up to state); maximum up to cost of attendance

  • Loan terms

    Range from 5 to 15 years; up to 20 years for refinancing loans

  • Loan types

    Variable and fixed

  • Co-signer required?

    No

  • Offer student loan refinancing?

    Yes - click here for details

Terms apply.

Kotlikoff even suggests that it may also be a good time to start investing in a tax-advantaged 401(k) or Roth IRA retirement account because of the stock market pullback — putting many stocks at a discounted price. Tara Falcone, CFP and founder of investing app Reason, agrees, telling Select that it's a good idea to "take advantage of low entry points into certain stocks or other investments as the market adjusts to higher interest rates."

Cons of Fed raising rates

By raising interest rates, the Fed is signaling there are economic factors that aren't on course with their objectives. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has stated numerous times the goal is to bring inflation down to 2%, now from the current 8.6%.

Yet the con of raising interest rates is running the risk of sending the economy into a recession; it's a delicate dance. Experts from the World Economic Forum predict there's a strong chance for a recession in the next couple of years largely based on two factors: increases in unemployment and continuous high inflation. Bloomberg Economics models show the odds of a downturn by the start of 2024 at 72%.

How you can benefit

If you're worried about a potential recession, now's the time to make sure you have backup savings should any sudden event happen like a job layoff. As the Fed raises interest rates, banks are responding by paying out higher APYs to consumers. You can take advantage by putting any extra cash into a bank account with these increased savings rates. This way, you get some return on your savings to avoid the value of it dissolving from inflation.

A high-yield savings accountlike the Marcus by Goldman Sachs High Yield Online Savings currently offers a 4.50% APY, with no monthly fees and no minimum deposits.

Marcus by Goldman Sachs High Yield Online Savings

Goldman Sachs Bank USA is a Member FDIC.

  • Annual Percentage Yield (APY)

    4.40% APY

  • Minimum balance

    None

  • Monthly fee

    None

  • Maximum transactions

    At this time, there is no limit to the number of withdrawals or transfers you can make from your online savings account

  • Excessive transactions fee

    None

  • Overdraft fee

    None

  • Offer checking account?

    No

  • Offer ATM card?

    No

Terms apply.

Bottom line

There's no doubt that the Fed has a tough decision to make when raising interest rates to combat high inflation, as there are both pros and cons to doing so. Everyday consumers like you and I can benefit, however, by knowing what these upsides and risks are and altering our personal finances to take advantage as best we can.

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Editorial Note: Opinions, analyses, reviews or recommendations expressed in this article are those of the Select editorial staff’s alone, and have not been reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any third party.

Pros and cons of Fed raising interest rates in today's economic conditions—and how you can benefit (2024)

FAQs

Pros and cons of Fed raising interest rates in today's economic conditions—and how you can benefit? ›

Higher interest rates can make borrowing money more expensive for consumers and businesses, while also potentially making it harder to get approved for loans. On the positive side, higher interest rates can benefit savers as banks increase yields to attract more deposits.

What are the pros and cons of raising interest rates? ›

The downside of higher interest rates is that they tend to hurt most other types of investments, particularly stocks. The idea behind raising interest rates is that it can help slow down inflation by putting a damper on the market. But slower economic growth usually leads to challenging market conditions.

Who benefits from increased interest rates? ›

The financial sector generally experiences increased profitability during periods of high-interest rates. This is primarily because banks and financial institutions earn more from the spread between the interest they pay on deposits and the interest they charge on loans.

What are the benefits of high interest rates on the economy? ›

Higher interest rates work to reduce inflation by dampening demand in the economy, making it more attractive to save and less attractive to borrow. One result of this is reductions in spending and employment by households and businesses.

How can raising interest rates help the economy? ›

Because higher interest rates mean higher borrowing costs, people will eventually start spending less. The demand for goods and services will then drop, which will cause inflation to fall. Similarly, to combat the rising inflation in 2022, the Fed has been increasing rates throughout the year.

What are the pros of the Fed raising interest rates? ›

On the positive side, higher interest rates can benefit savers as banks increase yields to attract more deposits. The average savings yield is now almost 10 times higher than it was when the Fed first started raising rates, and online banks often offer even higher yields.

What are the advantages and disadvantages of interest rates? ›

A high-interest rate typically tells us that the economy is strong and doing well. In a low-interest-rate environment, there are lower returns on investments and in savings accounts, and of course, an increase in debt which could mean more of a chance of default when rates go back up.

Who benefits and who is hurt when interest rates rise? ›

Some sectors within the stock market are more sensitive to changes in interest rates compared to others. Financials benefit from higher rates through increased profit margins. Brokerages often see an uptick in trading activity when the economy improves and in higher interest income from higher interest rates.

What is the bright side of higher interest rates? ›

Higher rates tend to lead to a more efficient allocation of capital across the economy, steering resources to growing enterprises that can put it to more productive use. Provide more income to savers, retirees in particular, who rely on fixed income.

Who benefits from high inflation? ›

Inflation allows borrowers to pay lenders back with money worth less than when it was originally borrowed, which benefits borrowers. When inflation causes higher prices, the demand for credit increases, raising interest rates, which benefits lenders.

Are interest rates good or bad for the economy? ›

A higher interest rate environment can present challenges for the economy, which may slow business activity. This could potentially result in lower revenues and earnings for a corporation, which could be reflected in a lower stock price.

Is a higher interest rate better for savings? ›

The base rate is the main driving force in dictating the interest rates advertised across the savings market. If the base rate goes up, it's likely to increase both the cost of borrowing money and the return savers can get on their nest egg.

Do banks make more money when interest rates rise? ›

A rise in interest rates automatically boosts a bank's earnings. It increases the amount of money that the bank earns by lending out its cash on hand at short-term interest rates.

What are the cons of the Federal Reserve? ›

Cons of the Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve operates independently of the U.S. government, and its monetary policy decisions are not approved by Congress or the U.S. president. This independence helps the Fed operate free of political pressure, but it also limits the Fed's accountability.

Does raising interest rates really lower inflation? ›

Higher interest rates can't stop the impact of these kinds of things. But they can slow down new causes of inflation that follow on from these shocks. These new causes include things like businesses putting up their prices because they face higher costs themselves.

What are the negative impacts of increasing interest rates? ›

Rising interest rates affects spending because the cost of borrowing money goes up. So, if you have a mortgage, any type of credit card or a loan, you could end up paying more for the money you originally borrowed. This will mean that you inevitably have less money to spend on goods and services.

Why interest rates should not be raised? ›

By keeping interest rates low, the Fed can promote continued job creation that leads to tighter labor markets, higher wages, less discrimination, and better job opportunities —especially within those communities still struggling post-recession.

What are the negatives of high interest rates? ›

Higher interest rates typically slow down the economy since it costs more for consumers and businesses to borrow money.

Why is it bad for banks when interest rates rise? ›

Besides loans, banks also invest in bonds and other debt securities, which lose value when interest rates rise. Banks may be forced to sell these at a loss if faced with sudden deposit withdrawals or other funding pressures.

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